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Logic, Love, Liberty

The 2020 Election

5/5/2021

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We have all heard the claims. Some say that the election was stolen. Others say that no evidence has been given that the election was stolen. How can one sort through the noise and get to the truth?

Unfortunately, I cannot be everywhere and know everything. That’s what news outlets are for. They might be lying to me about the basic facts. However, if the basic facts are true, the conclusion necessarily follows that the election was indeed stolen.

I’ll start with the most conclusive and easily-verified evidence. In all six of the contested states (Georgia, Pennsylvania, Michigan, Minnesota, Nevada, and Arizona) the election officials did not follow the election laws and conducted an illegal election. Following the laws makes it harder to conduct fraud, while not following them makes it easier. Coronavirus concerns were raised as a reason to change the laws, and this might have been a good reason, but not all agreed, and in zero of these states did the legislatures act to change the laws.

By definition, laws can only be passed, repealed, or changed by the legislature. In at least one state, the issue was brought to court ahead of the election and the court ordered that the questionable ballots be kept separate so their validity could be decided later, but the poll workers illegally mixed them in, tainting the whole batch. In at least two states, the legislatures sent official letters to congress claiming their own states to be out of legal bounds in assigning electors and that their electoral votes should not be counted. Since it is the state legislatures that assign electors under the constitution, this means that technically those votes do not exist.

In the meantime, Trump supporters also cast electoral votes from all six states. The joint session of Congress then counted the Biden votes without counting the Trump votes. Counting pretend votes from one side claiming legitimacy while not counting pretend votes from the other side also claiming legitimacy is corruption and favoritism of the highest order. The election was stolen.

The above argument requires no evidence that any specific act of fraud actually occurred. It relies only on the claim that these official letters exist and knowledge of how the constitution works. Only if I am wrong on either of those two things can my conclusion be wrong. Logic.

As for whether fraud occurred, I can only say that we all saw it right in front of us. Normally, we know by midnight on election night who has won, but this time was different. Instead, six states shut down early and stopped counting. The next morning, we still did not know who won, but the trend was heavily in Trump’s favor. Both Trump and Biden called the election for themselves and the news outlets began taking sides rather than waiting on the evidence.

When these six states began counting again, there was a massive spike in the number of ballots reported. There is no way that they could have counted so many ballots in such a short amount of time. Furthermore, these ballots broke so heavily for Biden that they defy statistical probability. In one state it was over 71%. In another it was almost 95%. The explanation that later ballots tended to support Biden (since these were mail-in ballots favored by Democrats) did not explain why after the spike, Trump continued to gain at a higher rate.

There are only three possible explanations: either there was fraud to artificially increase the number of Biden votes, or there was something wrong in the reporting system that had artificially suppressed Biden votes all night until correcting itself towards the end, or every chart I have seen is simply made up. Since I cannot be everywhere observing every polling place and counting every ballot myself, I must trust that the media is telling me the truth. Accepting these charts as true then leaves me with only the first two possibilities. Of these, pro-Biden fraud seems most likely.

Even if there is merely something wrong with the reporting system, this raises the question of how we know that what is being reported now is correct. For all we know, Kanye West won. In any case, something fishy happened that deserves a full investigation.

While everything stated above is more than enough to convince any sane person that the election was stolen, there are of course many other claims out there that are harder to verify. For example, in Pennsylvania there were allegedly more ballots found than the number of people recorded voting by such a huge number that it was more than enough to swing the election. There have also been claims of dead people voting, people voting in more than one state, ballot machines flipping large numbers of votes at a time, and ballot machines spitting out unread ballots used in Republican-leaning districts at a greater rate than those in Democrat-leaning districts. I cannot verify any of this, but I don’t have to. Based on what can be verified, Trump won. Logic.

In politics, we play with the lives of other people. Those we vote for will put in place policies that might make the difference between life and death, imprisonment and freedom, or poverty and riches. Voting without being fully informed is the worst form of negligence. Listen to as many different news sources as you have time for. Seek out contrary opinions. Check your bias. Read history. Read science. Find a trusted analyst to sift the news for you, explain it, and put it in context. Look for errors in their logic. Ask for supporting evidence. Most of all, actually think.

Logic. Love. Liberty.
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    Daniel Noe is an author, artist, explorer, and contemplator of subjects large and small.

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